They said it
“Will we do an office building? Yes, if the credit quality is fantastic, if we believe it’s mission critical and we believe that people need to be in the asset.”
Marc Zahr, head of Blue Owl Capital’s real estate business, sharing his perspective on the out-of-favor sector in PERE’s December 2023/January 2024 issue. Read the full interview here.
What’s new?
Chad’s back
There is nothing like a crisis to bring folks back to the market. About three and a half years after retiring from industry Blackstone, Chad Pike, once one of the heavyweight manager’s heaviest-hitting real estate investment professionals, is back with his own firm. As PERE revealed today, Makarora has been formed with the intention of capitalizing on current capital dislocation in the sector, initially in the US debt markets.
The first 10 recruits include ex-Prospect Ridge and AllianceBernstein senior executive Adam Brooks as head of debt, and an initial vehicle is expected to be introduced in the new year that could attract multiple billions of dollars from investors. According to a launch document obtained by PERE, those investors can expect a flexible investment approach – in line with Pike’s last Blackstone role as co-founder of its tactical opportunities business – but most likely kicking off with credit investments given the debt-starved condition of the market today. For more on Pike’s comeback, click here.
Aermont’s culture club
Speak to anyone inside Keppel Corporation’s acquisitions of European private equity real estate firm Aermont Capital and you will hear plenty about the two organizations’ cultural fit. The deal, announced last week, essentially sees the Singapore-based conglomerate buying the London-based manager in two 50 percent stake purchases with the first priced at S$517 million ($388 million; €353 million). Read PERE’s commentary published on Friday for insight on the transaction.
Aermont executives are expecting to leverage the operational expertise of Keppel’s existing and hitherto Asia-centric business, in line with the firms own preference for making investments with a significant onus on operational real estate. Indeed, when looking out for the firm’s first vehicles introduced post-acquisition – besides its signature opportunity fund series – do not be surprised to see something dedicated to data centers, an asset type for which Keppel is well known for delivering. Aermont founder Léon Bressler said in an announcement of the deal: “Keppel offers something specific and compelling to our franchise; its technical and operating expertise are well-aligned to key megatrends.”
Secondaries success for a pair of mega-managers
Both Blackstone and Ares Management have defied the wider slowdown in capital raising for private real estate, with both closing some of the largest real estate secondaries funds ever raised in the space of a week. Only a few days after Blackstone’s secondaries division, Blackstone Strategic Partners, closed the largest dedicated real estate secondaries fund since 2020 and the fourth-largest ever raised, Ares announced it had equalled its own record fundraise. The Los Angeles-based manager has amassed $3.3 billion for Landmark Real Estate Fund IX including co-investment. This puts the fund on a par with its predecessor, Landmark Real Estate Partners VIII, which closed on the same amount in 2018 and represents the largest real estate secondaries vehicle in history, according to data from affiliate title Secondaries Investor.
Blackstone attracted $2.6 billion in commitments for Strategic Partners Real Estate VIII, exceeding its predecessor vehicle by around 37 percent. According to Secondaries Investor data, Blackstone’s latest effort makes it the fifth-largest real estate secondaries fundraise of all time.
Trending topics
Invest like a contrarian
At this point in the market cycle, one would expect contrarian-minded real estate buyers to emerge. Although a term usually synonymous with opportunistic plays, ‘contrarian’ investing in today’s dislocated and uncertain market, however, could simply mean calling the bottom before your peers. In PERE’s final cover story of the year, we profile seven firms that are standing out for not sitting still. Whether that is placing capital in out-of-favor sectors or geographies, raising capital for challenged strategies, or eschewing the popular, ‘safe haven’ investment themes, these managers are actively transacting and fundraising in the slowest market in years.
Although with contrarian bets come the potential for high returns, there is also significant risk. “Contrarian plays are very difficult to figure out on timing,” says Goodwin Gaw, whose firm Gaw Capital Partners features among the seven for its conviction in the “rebound” of San Francisco’s office markets – a conviction that led it to buy an office complex in the city from Blackstone, the firm to which it sold the asset in 2018. The difference in that example? About $160 million in value. Read our latest Deep Dive for the full story.
The DE&I Divide
There is a significant divergence between how senior managers and more junior staff view DE&I initiatives at US commercial real estate finance companies, according to the cover story of affiliate title Real Estate Capital USA. The first-of-its kind survey, carried out in conjunction with the trade group Commercial Real Estate Finance Council, provides a baseline for the debt markets and some clear metrics for improvement. Check out the story here.
Data snapshot
Paying for the risk
The percentage of insurance costs as part of the income receivable in the US more than doubled from 1 percent to 2.3 percent over the past five years, according to research from MSCI. The growing number and severity of extreme weather events and higher reinsurance rates means some regions are facing higher costs due to their exposure to these risk factors. Florida and California recorded the highest percentage of insurance costs, standing at 4.4 percent and 3.6 percent respectively.
People
KKR’s next real estate crop
Private equity heavyweight KKR has promoted four real estate executives to the most senior level of the firm as it endorsed a newly promoted group of eight partners and 33 managing directors, according to a statement. Three of the four executives who were promoted to managing directors were based in New York, including Ben Brudney and Brett Kelly from real estate equity, and Adam Simon from real estate credit. In Tokyo, the firm promoted Kensuke Kudo from real estate equity. KKR has been growing its real estate business rapidly – its assets under management increased from $36 billion in December 2020 to $65 billion today. Among its latest activities was the launch of a European real estate debt business, according to a PERE report. Bloomberg also reported the firm is currently fundraising for its second Asia real estate fund KKR Asia Real Estate Partners II targeting $2.5 billion.
Investor watch
Louisiana Teachers commits to Brookfield
Mega-manager Brookfield Asset Management is hoping to hold a first closing for the fifth in its headline opportunity fund series Brookfield Strategic Real Estate Partners this quarter. Among the investors expected to be included within the at least $2 billion closing is US pension Teachers Retirement System of Louisiana, which last month approved an equity commitment to the vehicle, according to a briefing document relating to a November 30 meeting. Advised by Hamilton Lane, the pension is expected to invest $150 million into the fund, which carries a $15 billion fundraising target.
This week’s investor meetings
Tuesday, December 5
- Chicago Metropolitan Water Reclamation District Retirement Fund
- Stanislaus County Employees Retirement Association
- City of Ann Arbor Employees’ Retirement System
- Employees Retirement System of Texas
- Lothian Pension Fund
- Pennsylvania State Employees’ Retirement System
- Maryland-National Capital Park and Planning Commission Employees’ Retirement System
- Dallas Fort Worth International Airport
- Louisiana School Employees’ Retirement System
- Los Angeles County Employees’ Retirement Association
- San Mateo County Employees’ Retirement Association
- Wisconsin Board of Commissioners of Public Lands
Wednesday, December 6
- Alaska Retirement Management Board
- Ohio Police & Fire Pension Fund
- Fresno County Employees’ Retirement Association
- Kentucky Public Pensions Authority
- Oregon State Treasury
- South Carolina Retirement System
- Marin County Employees’ Retirement Association (MCERA)
- Imperial County Employees’ Retirement System (ICERS)
Thursday, December 7
- City of San Jose Police & Fire Department Retirement Plan
- Chicago Metropolitan Water Reclamation District Retirement Fund
- Alaska Retirement Management Board
- Teacher Retirement System of Texas
- Teachers’ Retirement System of the City of New York
- City of Westminster pension fund
- Omaha School Employees’ Retirement System
- Arkansas Local Police and Fire Retirement System
- Los Angeles Fire & Police Pension System
- South Dakota Retirement System
- State Universities Retirement System of Illinois
- The University of Texas/Texas A&M Investment Management Company
- South Carolina Retirement System
- Cincinnati Retirement System
- Iowa Public Employees’ Retirement System
- Nebraska Investment Council
- Washington State Investment Board
- University of Michigan
- Pennsylvania Public School Employees’ Retirement System
Friday, December 8
- Alaska Retirement Management Board
- Missouri Local Government Employees’ Retirement System
- Indiana Public Retirement System
- San Joaquin County Employees’ Retirement Association
- State Universities Retirement System of Illinois
- New Mexico Educational Retirement Board
- Tennessee Consolidated Retirement System
- Missouri LAGERS
Today’s letter was prepared by Jonathan Brasse, with Charlotte D’Souza, Christie Ou and Samantha Rowan contributing.