They said it
“I am excited about what I see coming up but I’m not excited that things are going to all of a sudden switch because the Fed said something”
Alfonso Munk, Hines’ Americas chief investment officer, sharing his views with PERE on current sentiment following the central bank’s positive comments on inflation and interest rates in December.
What’s new
Apollo’s Asia real estate equity mission over
It is the end of an era for private equity giant Apollo Global Management’s Asian real estate equity business after the departure last week of Ian Cohen, the Hong Kong-based partner who led it, according to a filing with the Hong Kong Securities & Futures Commission. His departure, one of many recent exits from the Asia real estate equity team, brings to a close a strategy that has been in place since 2010, when Apollo purchased the real estate business of investment bank Citigroup. After a stuttering start including a leadership change, the firm eventually raised two pan-regional opportunity funds – 2017’s Apollo Asia Real Estate Fund and 2021’s Apollo Asia Real Estate Fund II – collecting more than $1 billion in equity in the process. Now, with the final dollar of Fund II understood to have been deployed, the platform has been left in the hands of an asset management team with no plans for successor vehicles. Not that Apollo’s interest in Asian real estate is over – it is further understood the firm expects to be an active lender in the sector instead, according to PERE coverage.
Partners hits the shops
Who is calling the end for physical retail real estate? Certainly not Zug-based manager Partners Group, which backed a fund to buy 10 retail parks across Belgium and Portugal in the final days of 2023, according to an announcement. The assets – five in each country spanning more than 1 million square feet of retail space – were sold by European convenience real estate manager Mitiska REIM to a vehicle called First Retail Partners, which has a gross asset value of approximately €280 million and counts Partners as an investor, according to Mitiska. Axel Despriet, co-founder and managing partner at Mitiska, described the deal as further proof of institutional support for certain forms of retail property. Adding to the divestment of 25 assets in Romania, the transaction brought Mitiska’s retail exits to about €500 million in December alone, “which is testament to the resilience of the asset class,” he said.
Running up that Hill
GLP Capital Partners-backed pan-Asia private equity manager Hidden Hill Capital continues to tap into Chinese domestic capital with the final close of its second RMB fund. Hidden Hill RMB Fund II raised a total of 8 billion yuan ($1.1 billion; €1 billion) with capital from both existing and new investors including insurance companies, corporate VC firms, and fund of funds, according to a statement. Similar to Fund I, Hidden Hill will invest Fund II’s capital in growth-stage companies with a focus on modern logistics services, digital supply chains, renewable energy, and related technologies. Meanwhile, GCP has also been actively launching several RMB vehicles. In December, it closed its China Income Fund XI with 3 billion yuan of assets under management in partnership with a domestic insurer.
Trending topics
In case you missed it
At the turn of the year, PERE connected with varied sources from across the globe to assess the outlook for the coming 12 months for private real estate. Investors, managers and advisers across regions and sectors gave us their take on whether 2024 would represent a turning point for an industry blighted with value declines, systemic failures and structural headwinds over the previous year, and identified corners of the market set for significant evolution. If you have not already, check out some of the highlights from our Look Ahead 2024 series:
- James Seppala expects Blackstone to increase its activity in Europe this year in anticipation of buyers and sellers being enticed back into the market.
- With the US retail availability rate set to drop this year, Alfonso Munk says retail is a “favorite asset” for Hines.
- Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing’s Lauren Hochfelder assesses how re-, near- and friend-shoring will change demand for space in US logistics.
- Return hurdles will be less of a hindrance in 2024 as the bid-ask spread narrows and IRRs become more achievable, predicts Colliers’ Aaron Jodka.
- Opportunities will abound in Asian real estate secondaries as more European and North American investors pivot back to their home markets, says Aquilius Investment Partners’ Bastian Wolff.
The grass is greener
The new year has arrived, but is the private real estate sector ready to turn over a new leaf? The myriad 2024 outlook reports published by managers and advisers paint a picture of relative optimism compared with this time last year. In the US, for example, brokers CBRE and Cushman & Wakefield forecast transaction activity will pick up in the second half of the year. The cynical reader would be justified in questioning why – with trillions of dollars of commercial real estate loans due to mature in the next two years and rates still at a 15-year high – anyone would hang their hat on such expectations given how 2023 played out. The answer lies in the latest inflation data. As explored in PERE’s latest commentary, the decline in inflation levels in many major economies and the resulting projections of interest rates stabilizing or even reducing is enough to inspire hopes of activity returning among industry professionals. Others say the Fed’s signals are no cause for celebration just yet. But even so, a little bit of economic visibility might go a long way to revitalizing a market as stunted as real estate has been.
Thanks for voting!
The polls have now closed for voting for the 2023 PERE Global Awards. Thanks to everyone who took the time to cast their votes in 70 categories recognizing the industry’s best and brightest. We will now turn our attention to compiling and analyzing the voting results over the coming weeks, but look out for an announcement in early March unveiling this year’s winners.
Data snapshot
New office supply to plummet
The US office vacancy rate has been steadily climbing since the onset of the pandemic, but it is now having a notable impact on new construction. After holding relatively steady from 2019-23, new office space deliveries are expected to drop to approximately 30 million square feet this year and plummet to around 5 million in two years, according to Cushman & Wakefield data.
People
Saunders gets Linked in
Hong Kong’s Link Real Estate Investment Trust has hired former BlackRock Asia real estate boss John Saunders to become its group chief investment officer, according to a statement. Before this, Saunders was most recently the head of Asia-Pacific real estate and global head of the real estate client business at BlackRock. He joined the firm in 2013 following BlackRock’s acquisition of private equity real estate firm MGPA, where he was the chief executive officer in Asia. Saunders’ appointment came shortly after Link’s former co-CIO Kenny Lam left the firm in September 2023 to return to Manulife Investment Management’s real estate business. Lam left Link just a year after joining to build out its fund management platform.
Investor watch
PGGM snaps up mixed-use property in Singapore
Dutch pension investor PGGM has expanded its Asia-Pacific portfolio with the acquisition of Wilkie Edge, an eight-story office and retail development in Singapore, for S$348 million ($262 million; €239 million). The acquisition was made through the Alpha Asia Separate Account, which is a S$360 million mandate PGGM awarded to Keppel in April 2021. The account predominantly focuses on core-plus commercial real estate opportunities in Japan, China and Singapore. Keppel intends to upgrade the property, including improving its operational efficiency and performance, to create value and boost returns for PGGM. The separate account also includes a top-up option of up to S$320 million, which would bring the investor’s aggregate commitment to up to S$680 million. PGGM has invested with Keppel for more than 15 years.
This week’s investor meetings
Tuesday, January 9
Wednesday, January 10
- California State Teachers’ Retirement System
- Contra Costa County Employees’ Retirement Association
- Oklahoma Police Pension and Retirement System
- Connecticut Retirement Plans and Trust Funds
- San Francisco Employees’ Retirement System
- Tulare County Employees Retirement Association
- Marin County Employees’ Retirement Association (MCERA)
- New Jersey Division of Investment
Thursday, January 11
- California State Teachers’ Retirement System
- Maine Public Employees Retirement System
- North Dakota Retirement and Investment Office
Friday, January 12
Today’s letter was prepared by Evelyn Lee, with Jonathan Brasse, Charlotte D’Souza, Miriam Hall and Christie Ou contributing.